Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
BC KalevHOME · -
74 : 712023.09.22 · 종료
Tartu UlikoolAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.7%
VALUE EDGE+68.7%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEA
BC KalevAnalysis MetricsTartu Ulikool
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+3.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.25
165.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.58
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BC Kalev
L · 63-60L · 65-83L · 81-59W · 66-83W · 80-73
Tartu Ulikool
W · 63-60L · 89-67W · 92-69W · 79-88L · 80-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.25 | Tartu Ulikool | 90 : 63 | BC Kalev |
| 2024.03.23 | Tartu Ulikool | 63 : 77 | BC Kalev |
| 2023.09.22 | BC Kalev | 74 : 71 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2023.04.08 | Tartu Ulikool | 63 : 60 | BC Kalev |
| 2023.03.10 | Tartu Ulikool | 67 : 73 | BC Kalev |
| 2023.01.21 | BC Kalev | 75 : 71 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2022.04.19 | Tartu Ulikool | 58 : 87 | BC Kalev |
| 2019.04.03 | BC Kalev | 96 : 59 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2019.03.31 | Tartu Ulikool | 59 : 84 | BC Kalev |
| 2019.01.31 | BC Kalev | 104 : 71 | Tartu Ulikool |