Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Games of the Small States of Europe Women
Europe · Games of the Small States of Europe Women - Final
Montenegro WHOME · -
74 : 612023.06.03 · 종료
Luxembourg WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.1%
VALUE EDGE+79.1%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEB
Montenegro WAnalysis MetricsLuxembourg W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+7.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+14.83
127.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
121.17
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
75.0%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Montenegro W
W · 78-44L · 63-59W · 59-42W · 52-64W · 65-48
Luxembourg W
W · 75-69W · 64-55L · 52-64W · 70-78L · 114-59
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.05.31 | Luxembourg W | 56 : 68 | Montenegro W |
| 2025.05.30 | Montenegro W | 55 : 64 | Luxembourg W |
| 2025.02.10 | Montenegro W | 86 : 53 | Luxembourg W |
| 2024.11.08 | Luxembourg W | 71 : 49 | Montenegro W |
| 2023.06.03 | Montenegro W | 74 : 61 | Luxembourg W |
| 2023.05.30 | Luxembourg W | 52 : 64 | Montenegro W |
| 2019.06.01 | Montenegro W | 68 : 49 | Luxembourg W |