Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Games of the Small States of Europe
Europe · Games of the Small States of Europe - Final
MaltaHOME · -
69 : 782023.06.03 · 종료
LuxembourgAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.2%
VALUE EDGE+59.2%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEA
MaltaAnalysis MetricsLuxembourg
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+11.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.33
149.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.00
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.1 / 15
Prediction separation7.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Malta
W · 80-84L · 78-75W · 66-78L · 50-75L · 68-84
Luxembourg
W · 66-60W · 78-75L · 72-76W · 62-78L · 78-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.03 | Malta | 69 : 78 | Luxembourg |
| 2023.06.02 | Luxembourg | 78 : 75 | Malta |
| 2019.05.30 | Malta | 79 : 94 | Luxembourg |