Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Games of the Small States of Europe
Europe · Games of the Small States of Europe - Semi-finals

LuxembourgHOME · -
66 : 602023.06.02 · 종료
CyprusAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.2%
VALUE EDGE+74.2%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADEA
LuxembourgAnalysis MetricsCyprus
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-6.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-17.17
160.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
148.33
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Luxembourg
W · 78-75L · 72-76W · 62-78L · 78-67W · 86-75
Cyprus
L · 70-80W · 50-75L · 62-78L · 75-50L · 66-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.02 | Luxembourg | 66 : 60 | Cyprus |
| 2023.05.29 | Cyprus | 62 : 78 | Luxembourg |
| 2018.07.02 | Cyprus | 76 : 89 | Luxembourg |
| 2018.02.23 | Luxembourg | 53 : 67 | Cyprus |
| 2017.05.31 | Cyprus | 74 : 70 | Luxembourg |