Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Games of the Small States of Europe Europe

LuxembourgHOME · -

72 : 762023.05.30 · 종료

MontenegroAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME29.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY70.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 73.0% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +70.4%

VALUE EDGE+70.4%

FAIR ODDS1.42

GRADEA

LuxembourgAnalysis MetricsMontenegro

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-5.83 Point MarginHigher is better -2.58

158.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.92

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.5 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

29.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

70.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Luxembourg

W · 62-78L · 78-67W · 86-75L · 70-73L · 92-89

Montenegro

L · 85-79W · 73-81L · 65-82W · 81-91W · 76-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.30	Luxembourg	72 : 76	Montenegro
2019.06.02	Luxembourg	91 : 93	Montenegro
2017.05.30	Montenegro	79 : 57	Luxembourg