경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Copa Uruguay Uruguay · Group Stage - 2

CerritoHOME · 3.85

0 : 22026.09.03 · 종료

Deportivo MaldonadoAWAY · 1.93

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.3%

DRAW26.5%

AWAY25.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH79 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 79/100

AI PICK HOME 39.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +24.8%

VALUE EDGE+24.8%

FAIR ODDS2.07

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 92/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +25.9%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +25.0%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

H2H AWAY -100.0%p

REST EVEN -0.4%p

MARKET AWAY -23.4%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Cerrito분석 지표Deportivo Maldonado

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

1.67 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.67

1.08 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.67

28.6% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 60.0%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

79/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지15.8 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본5.5 / 10

모델 일치도8.4 / 15

예측 분리도9.3 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME23.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승23.8%표본 42경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승41.7%현재 이동 +4.5%

OPEN → NOW3.69 → 3.85배당 업데이트 2026-09-02 23:52:03

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

48.3%

DRAW

26.5%

AWAY

25.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Cerrito

L · 2-1W · 3-0D · 1-1L · 1-0D · 1-1

Deportivo Maldonado

L · 2-0D · 0-0W · 0-2D · 2-2D · 0-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.75

→

CURRENT3.82

+1.83%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.08

→

CURRENT3.07

-0.37%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.96

→

CURRENT1.93

-1.30%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-02 09:52:39	3.75	3.08	1.96
2026-09-02 10:02:36	3.74	3.09	1.95
2026-09-02 10:12:43	3.69	3.11	1.93
2026-09-02 10:12:44	3.79	3.06	1.97
2026-09-02 10:22:41	3.74	3.09	1.95
2026-09-02 10:32:47	3.74	3.09	1.95
2026-09-02 10:42:42	3.74	3.09	1.95
2026-09-02 10:52:52	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 11:02:42	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 11:12:37	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 11:22:51	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 11:32:40	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 11:42:45	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 11:52:41	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 12:03:01	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 12:12:40	3.70	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 12:12:41	3.88	3.08	1.95
2026-09-02 12:22:46	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 12:32:55	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 12:42:54	3.80	2.95	1.95
2026-09-02 12:42:55	3.79	3.12	1.94
2026-09-02 12:52:41	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 13:02:37	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 13:12:45	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 13:22:53	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 13:33:25	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 13:42:46	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 13:52:44	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 14:02:43	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 14:12:43	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 14:22:51	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 14:32:42	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 14:42:35	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 14:52:40	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 15:02:37	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 15:12:34	3.74	3.10	1.93
2026-09-02 15:12:35	3.86	3.07	1.95
2026-09-02 15:22:39	3.76	3.09	1.93
2026-09-02 15:22:40	3.87	3.08	1.97
2026-09-02 15:32:35	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 15:42:36	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 15:52:42	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 16:02:38	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 16:12:35	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 16:22:40	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 16:32:36	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 16:42:37	3.79	3.09	1.94
2026-09-02 16:52:43	3.78	3.07	1.94
2026-09-02 17:02:39	3.78	3.07	1.94
2026-09-02 17:12:38	3.78	3.07	1.94
2026-09-02 17:22:43	3.78	3.07	1.94
2026-09-02 17:32:39	3.78	3.07	1.94
2026-09-02 17:42:37	3.78	3.07	1.94
2026-09-02 17:52:42	3.78	3.07	1.94
2026-09-02 18:02:36	3.78	3.07	1.94
2026-09-02 18:12:37	3.77	3.10	1.93
2026-09-02 18:12:38	3.79	3.07	1.94
2026-09-02 18:22:40	3.76	3.07	1.92
2026-09-02 18:22:41	3.84	3.08	1.97
2026-09-02 18:32:38	3.78	3.07	1.94
2026-09-02 18:42:37	3.78	3.07	1.94
2026-09-02 18:52:41	3.78	3.07	1.94
2026-09-02 19:02:40	3.78	3.07	1.94
2026-09-02 19:12:36	3.78	3.10	1.92
2026-09-02 19:12:37	3.79	3.04	1.96
2026-09-02 19:22:40	3.77	3.07	1.92
2026-09-02 19:22:41	3.82	3.08	1.98
2026-09-02 19:32:38	3.78	3.07	1.94
2026-09-02 19:42:36	3.78	3.07	1.94
2026-09-02 20:52:02	3.82	3.07	1.93
2026-09-02 21:12:02	3.82	3.07	1.93
2026-09-02 21:32:03	3.82	3.07	1.93
2026-09-02 21:52:03	3.82	3.07	1.93
2026-09-02 22:12:02	3.82	3.07	1.93
2026-09-02 22:32:03	3.82	3.07	1.93
2026-09-02 22:52:02	3.74	3.09	1.93
2026-09-02 22:52:03	3.86	3.05	1.93
2026-09-02 23:12:03	3.82	3.07	1.93
2026-09-02 23:32:03	3.82	3.07	1.93
2026-09-02 23:52:03	3.82	3.07	1.93

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.03	Cerrito	0 : 2	Deportivo Maldonado
2025.10.20	Cerrito	0 : 1	Deportivo Maldonado
2025.07.27	Deportivo Maldonado	1 : 0	Cerrito