경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Cup Poland · Round of 64

Górnik PolkowiceHOME · 4.65

0 : 12026.09.02 · 종료

Polonia WarszawaAWAY · 1.51

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.7%

DRAW23.2%

AWAY38.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 68/100

AI PICK HOME 32.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +19.3%

VALUE EDGE+19.3%

FAIR ODDS2.59

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 64/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +15.8%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +17.8%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN -0.5%p

MARKET AWAY -40.3%p

SEASON_STATS EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Górnik Polkowice분석 지표Polonia Warszawa

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

1.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.67

1.58 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.17

57.1% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%

3.9일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

68/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지13.7 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도9.5 / 15

예측 분리도0.2 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME19.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승32.1%표본 28경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승45.1%현재 이동 -13.1%

OPEN → NOW5.35 → 4.65배당 업데이트 2026-09-02 23:42:31

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

38.7%

DRAW

23.2%

AWAY

38.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Górnik Polkowice

W · 1-3W · 2-1D · 0-0D · 3-3L · 2-1

Polonia Warszawa

W · 1-3L · 1-0D · 1-1W · 3-1W · 0-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.89

→

CURRENT4.67

-4.47%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.18

→

CURRENT4.20

+0.47%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.51

→

CURRENT1.53

+0.80%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-02 12:12:30	4.89	4.18	1.51
2026-09-02 12:22:31	4.88	4.21	1.51
2026-09-02 12:32:40	4.70	4.30	1.49
2026-09-02 12:32:41	4.92	4.19	1.51
2026-09-02 12:42:40	4.77	4.19	1.50
2026-09-02 12:42:41	5.13	4.25	1.51
2026-09-02 12:52:28	4.88	4.21	1.51
2026-09-02 13:02:26	4.88	4.21	1.51
2026-09-02 13:12:31	4.88	4.21	1.51
2026-09-02 13:22:39	4.77	4.19	1.50
2026-09-02 13:22:40	5.13	4.25	1.51
2026-09-02 13:33:04	4.88	4.21	1.51
2026-09-02 13:42:31	4.88	4.21	1.51
2026-09-02 13:52:31	4.88	4.21	1.51
2026-09-02 14:02:32	4.88	4.21	1.51
2026-09-02 14:12:24	4.88	4.21	1.51
2026-09-02 14:22:37	4.76	4.13	1.53
2026-09-02 14:32:30	4.76	4.13	1.53
2026-09-02 14:42:25	4.76	4.13	1.53
2026-09-02 14:52:29	4.76	4.13	1.53
2026-09-02 15:02:27	4.76	4.13	1.53
2026-09-02 15:12:24	4.76	4.13	1.53
2026-09-02 15:22:28	4.76	4.13	1.53
2026-09-02 15:32:24	4.76	4.13	1.53
2026-09-02 15:42:25	4.76	4.13	1.53
2026-09-02 15:52:29	4.63	4.09	1.54
2026-09-02 15:52:30	5.13	4.25	1.51
2026-09-02 16:02:28	4.76	4.13	1.53
2026-09-02 16:12:25	4.76	4.13	1.53
2026-09-02 16:22:29	4.76	4.13	1.53
2026-09-02 16:32:26	4.76	4.13	1.53
2026-09-02 16:42:26	4.76	4.13	1.53
2026-09-02 16:52:30	4.44	4.03	1.56
2026-09-02 16:52:31	4.86	4.17	1.52
2026-09-02 17:02:27	4.76	4.13	1.53
2026-09-02 17:12:26	4.62	4.09	1.53
2026-09-02 17:12:27	4.86	4.16	1.53
2026-09-02 17:22:30	4.46	4.01	1.56
2026-09-02 17:22:31	4.78	4.10	1.52
2026-09-02 17:32:27	4.68	4.07	1.53
2026-09-02 17:42:25	4.55	4.02	1.53
2026-09-02 17:42:26	4.98	4.19	1.53
2026-09-02 17:52:29	4.50	3.93	1.57
2026-09-02 17:52:30	4.72	4.10	1.53
2026-09-02 18:02:25	4.64	4.09	1.54
2026-09-02 18:02:26	4.73	4.05	1.53
2026-09-02 18:12:26	4.68	4.07	1.53
2026-09-02 18:22:28	4.68	4.07	1.53
2026-09-02 18:32:26	4.46	4.01	1.56
2026-09-02 18:32:27	4.78	4.10	1.52
2026-09-02 18:42:26	4.68	4.07	1.53
2026-09-02 18:52:29	4.68	4.07	1.53
2026-09-02 19:02:28	4.61	4.07	1.54
2026-09-02 19:02:29	4.80	4.06	1.52
2026-09-02 19:12:26	4.68	4.07	1.53
2026-09-02 19:22:28	4.68	4.07	1.53
2026-09-02 19:32:27	4.68	4.07	1.53
2026-09-02 19:42:25	4.68	4.07	1.53
2026-09-02 19:42:29	4.65	4.06	1.54
2026-09-02 19:52:29	4.68	4.07	1.53
2026-09-02 19:52:32	4.65	4.06	1.54
2026-09-02 20:02:26	4.68	4.07	1.53
2026-09-02 20:02:29	4.40	3.98	1.57
2026-09-02 20:02:30	4.72	4.09	1.53
2026-09-02 20:12:26	4.68	4.07	1.53
2026-09-02 20:12:29	4.65	4.06	1.54
2026-09-02 20:22:35	4.65	4.06	1.54
2026-09-02 20:32:31	4.65	4.06	1.54
2026-09-02 20:42:28	4.65	4.06	1.54
2026-09-02 21:02:30	4.55	4.02	1.54
2026-09-02 21:02:31	4.88	4.16	1.55
2026-09-02 21:22:35	4.56	4.03	1.54
2026-09-02 21:22:36	4.93	4.18	1.55
2026-09-02 21:42:39	4.65	4.06	1.54
2026-09-02 22:02:34	4.65	4.06	1.54
2026-09-02 22:22:37	4.65	4.06	1.54
2026-09-02 22:42:35	4.67	4.20	1.53
2026-09-02 23:02:32	4.67	4.20	1.53
2026-09-02 23:22:39	4.67	4.20	1.53
2026-09-02 23:42:31	4.67	4.20	1.53

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.02	Górnik Polkowice	0 : 1	Polonia Warszawa