경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

J1 League Japan · Regular Season - 5

Shimizu S-pulseHOME · 4.60

1 : 12026.09.02 · 종료

FC TokyoAWAY · 1.78

HOME · 현재 순위 16위 승점 3 · 4경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 5위 승점 7 · 4경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME10.3%

DRAW19.7%

AWAY69.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 46.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +17.2%

VALUE EDGE+17.2%

FAIR ODDS1.43

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -37.0%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -33.3%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -12.2%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

H2H HOME +50.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE

Shimizu S-pulse분석 지표FC Tokyo

66.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 75.0%

1.58 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.33

1.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.58

66.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 75.0%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

86/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.1 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본5.5 / 10

모델 일치도10.3 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME20.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승17.6%표본 17경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승31.0%현재 이동 +27.8%

OPEN → NOW3.60 → 4.60배당 업데이트 2026-09-02 23:42:10

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

10.3%

DRAW

19.7%

AWAY

69.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Shimizu S-pulse

L · 0-1W · 2-1W · 1-3W · 1-3L · 3-0

FC Tokyo

W · 0-3W · 6-0L · 0-1W · 2-1L · 1-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.63

→

CURRENT4.50

+24.04%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.32

→

CURRENT3.57

+7.34%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.03

→

CURRENT1.79

-11.88%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-02 11:02:09	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 11:12:08	3.64	3.33	2.00
2026-09-02 11:12:09	3.62	3.32	2.06
2026-09-02 11:22:10	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 11:32:09	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 11:42:10	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 11:52:11	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 12:02:19	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 12:12:11	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 12:22:11	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 12:32:10	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 12:42:11	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 12:52:10	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 13:02:10	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 13:12:08	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 13:22:11	3.62	3.32	2.02
2026-09-02 13:22:12	3.70	3.33	2.07
2026-09-02 13:32:37	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 13:42:14	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 13:52:11	3.65	3.35	2.01
2026-09-02 13:52:12	3.59	3.28	2.06
2026-09-02 14:02:08	3.72	3.30	1.98
2026-09-02 14:02:09	3.60	3.33	2.04
2026-09-02 14:12:08	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 14:22:16	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 14:32:10	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 14:42:09	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 14:52:10	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 15:02:10	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 15:12:08	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 15:22:10	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 15:32:09	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 15:42:09	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 15:52:11	3.63	3.32	2.03
2026-09-02 16:02:10	4.09	3.48	1.87
2026-09-02 16:12:08	4.05	3.38	1.87
2026-09-02 16:12:09	4.11	3.50	1.87
2026-09-02 16:22:10	4.09	3.48	1.87
2026-09-02 16:32:10	4.09	3.48	1.87
2026-09-02 16:42:10	4.09	3.48	1.87
2026-09-02 16:52:11	4.09	3.48	1.87
2026-09-02 17:02:10	4.09	3.48	1.87
2026-09-02 17:12:09	4.06	3.47	1.87
2026-09-02 17:12:10	4.50	3.60	1.85
2026-09-02 17:22:10	4.09	3.48	1.87
2026-09-02 17:32:10	4.09	3.48	1.87
2026-09-02 17:42:08	4.05	3.44	1.85
2026-09-02 17:42:09	4.13	3.51	1.88
2026-09-02 17:52:10	4.09	3.48	1.87
2026-09-02 18:02:08	4.09	3.48	1.87
2026-09-02 18:12:09	4.09	3.48	1.87
2026-09-02 18:22:09	4.09	3.48	1.87
2026-09-02 18:32:09	3.83	3.38	1.90
2026-09-02 18:32:10	4.14	3.49	1.86
2026-09-02 18:42:08	4.09	3.48	1.87
2026-09-02 18:52:10	4.09	3.48	1.87
2026-09-02 19:02:10	4.50	3.57	1.79
2026-09-02 19:12:08	4.38	3.48	1.79
2026-09-02 19:12:09	4.52	3.58	1.79
2026-09-02 19:22:09	4.50	3.57	1.79
2026-09-02 19:32:09	4.50	3.57	1.79
2026-09-02 19:42:09	4.50	3.57	1.79
2026-09-02 19:52:10	4.50	3.57	1.79
2026-09-02 20:02:08	4.50	3.57	1.79
2026-09-02 20:12:09	4.50	3.57	1.79
2026-09-02 20:22:10	4.50	3.57	1.79
2026-09-02 20:32:10	4.50	3.57	1.79
2026-09-02 20:42:08	4.49	3.56	1.78
2026-09-02 20:42:09	4.60	3.65	1.81
2026-09-02 21:02:10	4.50	3.57	1.79
2026-09-02 21:22:12	4.50	3.57	1.79
2026-09-02 21:42:17	4.50	3.57	1.79
2026-09-02 22:02:08	4.52	3.57	1.78
2026-09-02 22:02:09	4.45	3.55	1.80
2026-09-02 22:22:11	4.55	3.55	1.76
2026-09-02 22:22:12	4.44	3.59	1.81
2026-09-02 22:42:10	4.50	3.57	1.79
2026-09-02 23:02:09	4.50	3.57	1.79
2026-09-02 23:22:15	4.50	3.57	1.79
2026-09-02 23:42:10	4.50	3.57	1.79

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.02	Shimizu S-pulse	1 : 1	FC Tokyo
2025.10.04	Shimizu S-pulse	1 : 1	FC Tokyo
2025.04.29	FC Tokyo	0 : 2	Shimizu S-pulse