경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

J1 League Japan · Regular Season - 5

Mito HollyhockHOME · 4.30

4 : 22026.09.02 · 종료

KashimaAWAY · 1.80

HOME · 현재 순위 11위 승점 5 · 4경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 2위 승점 12 · 4경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME11.0%

DRAW16.8%

AWAY72.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +20.2%

VALUE EDGE+20.2%

FAIR ODDS1.39

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -37.1%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -30.6%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -15.9%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

H2H AWAY -50.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE

Mito Hollyhock분석 지표Kashima

8.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%

0.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.42

1.25 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.08

0.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

87/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.1 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본5.5 / 10

모델 일치도9.8 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME21.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승29.6%표본 27경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승38.8%현재 이동 +10.3%

OPEN → NOW3.90 → 4.30배당 업데이트 2026-09-02 23:42:09

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

11.0%

DRAW

16.8%

AWAY

72.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Mito Hollyhock

D · 1-1L · 0-2L · 0-1L · 1-0L · 1-3

Kashima

W · 0-2W · 3-0W · 5-0W · 2-0L · 5-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.99

→

CURRENT4.25

+6.61%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.42

→

CURRENT3.54

+3.42%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.90

→

CURRENT1.82

-4.32%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-02 10:42:11	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 10:52:16	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 11:02:09	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 11:12:08	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 11:22:10	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 11:32:09	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 11:42:10	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 11:52:11	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 12:02:19	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 12:12:10	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 12:22:10	4.00	3.42	1.89
2026-09-02 12:22:11	3.95	3.42	1.95
2026-09-02 12:32:09	3.98	3.40	1.89
2026-09-02 12:32:10	4.00	3.44	1.92
2026-09-02 12:42:10	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 12:52:10	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 13:02:09	4.05	3.42	1.87
2026-09-02 13:02:10	3.97	3.42	1.92
2026-09-02 13:12:08	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 13:22:11	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 13:32:36	4.00	3.42	1.89
2026-09-02 13:32:37	3.95	3.43	1.97
2026-09-02 13:42:14	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 13:52:11	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 14:02:08	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 14:12:08	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 14:22:16	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 14:32:10	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 14:42:08	4.05	3.43	1.87
2026-09-02 14:42:09	3.96	3.41	1.92
2026-09-02 14:52:10	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 15:02:10	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 15:12:07	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 15:22:10	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 15:32:08	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 15:42:09	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 15:52:11	3.99	3.42	1.90
2026-09-02 16:02:10	4.08	3.53	1.85
2026-09-02 16:12:08	4.08	3.53	1.85
2026-09-02 16:22:09	4.08	3.53	1.85
2026-09-02 16:32:10	4.08	3.53	1.85
2026-09-02 16:42:09	4.08	3.53	1.85
2026-09-02 16:52:11	4.08	3.53	1.85
2026-09-02 17:02:09	4.08	3.53	1.85
2026-09-02 17:12:09	4.08	3.53	1.85
2026-09-02 17:22:10	4.08	3.53	1.85
2026-09-02 17:32:10	4.08	3.53	1.85
2026-09-02 17:42:08	4.08	3.53	1.85
2026-09-02 17:52:09	4.09	3.53	1.84
2026-09-02 17:52:10	4.03	3.55	1.91
2026-09-02 18:02:08	4.08	3.53	1.85
2026-09-02 18:12:09	4.08	3.53	1.85
2026-09-02 18:22:09	4.08	3.53	1.85
2026-09-02 18:32:09	4.08	3.53	1.85
2026-09-02 18:42:08	4.08	3.53	1.85
2026-09-02 18:52:09	4.09	3.54	1.84
2026-09-02 18:52:10	3.90	3.45	2.02
2026-09-02 19:02:09	4.25	3.54	1.82
2026-09-02 19:12:08	4.25	3.54	1.82
2026-09-02 19:22:09	4.25	3.54	1.82
2026-09-02 19:32:09	4.25	3.54	1.82
2026-09-02 19:42:08	4.25	3.54	1.82
2026-09-02 19:52:09	4.25	3.54	1.82
2026-09-02 20:02:08	4.25	3.54	1.82
2026-09-02 20:12:08	4.28	3.52	1.80
2026-09-02 20:12:09	4.24	3.55	1.84
2026-09-02 20:22:09	4.25	3.54	1.82
2026-09-02 20:32:09	4.30	3.53	1.81
2026-09-02 20:32:10	4.03	3.55	1.91
2026-09-02 20:42:08	4.25	3.54	1.82
2026-09-02 21:02:10	4.25	3.54	1.82
2026-09-02 21:22:12	4.25	3.54	1.82
2026-09-02 21:42:16	4.25	3.54	1.82
2026-09-02 22:02:08	4.25	3.54	1.82
2026-09-02 22:22:11	4.25	3.54	1.82
2026-09-02 22:42:09	4.28	3.54	1.81
2026-09-02 22:42:10	3.90	3.45	2.02
2026-09-02 23:02:09	4.25	3.54	1.82
2026-09-02 23:22:14	4.25	3.54	1.82
2026-09-02 23:42:09	4.25	3.54	1.82

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.02	Mito Hollyhock	4 : 2	Kashima
2026.05.06	Kashima	3 : 0	Mito Hollyhock
2026.04.04	Mito Hollyhock	1 : 1	Kashima