경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

J1 League Japan · Regular Season - 5

Machida ZelviaHOME · 1.88

2 : 12026.09.02 · 종료

Kawasaki FrontaleAWAY · 3.90

HOME · 현재 순위 3위 승점 10 · 4경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 7위 승점 6 · 4경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.5%

DRAW18.7%

AWAY8.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH90 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +22.8%

VALUE EDGE+22.8%

FAIR ODDS1.38

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +53.7%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +41.7%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +10.4%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

H2H AWAY -16.7%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE

Machida Zelvia분석 지표Kawasaki Frontale

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

1.75 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.83

1.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.08

62.5% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 75.0%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

90/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.1 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본5.5 / 10

모델 일치도10.9 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME49.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승49.0%표본 149경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.3%현재 이동 -2.6%

OPEN → NOW1.93 → 1.88배당 업데이트 2026-09-02 23:42:08

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

72.5%

DRAW

18.7%

AWAY

8.8%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Machida Zelvia

D · 1-1W · 3-0W · 2-1W · 2-1D · 2-2

Kawasaki Frontale

W · 4-2W · 3-1D · 0-0L · 0-1L · 2-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.93

→

CURRENT1.90

-1.55%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.48

→

CURRENT3.54

+1.70%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.81

→

CURRENT3.87

+1.49%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-02 11:52:10	1.93	3.48	3.81
2026-09-02 12:02:17	1.93	3.48	3.81
2026-09-02 12:12:07	1.93	3.48	3.81
2026-09-02 12:22:09	1.92	3.38	3.90
2026-09-02 12:22:10	1.93	3.52	3.79
2026-09-02 12:32:08	1.92	3.50	3.80
2026-09-02 12:32:09	1.96	3.45	3.85
2026-09-02 12:42:09	1.93	3.48	3.81
2026-09-02 12:42:10	1.99	3.55	3.90
2026-09-02 12:52:09	1.93	3.48	3.81
2026-09-02 13:02:08	1.93	3.48	3.81
2026-09-02 13:02:09	1.99	3.55	3.90
2026-09-02 13:12:07	1.93	3.48	3.81
2026-09-02 13:22:10	1.93	3.48	3.81
2026-09-02 13:32:20	1.93	3.38	3.75
2026-09-02 13:32:21	1.93	3.50	3.83
2026-09-02 13:42:09	1.93	3.48	3.81
2026-09-02 13:52:10	1.93	3.48	3.81
2026-09-02 14:02:07	1.93	3.48	3.81
2026-09-02 14:12:07	1.93	3.48	3.81
2026-09-02 14:22:11	1.93	3.48	3.81
2026-09-02 14:32:08	1.88	3.45	3.92
2026-09-02 14:32:09	1.91	3.57	3.83
2026-09-02 14:42:07	1.88	3.53	3.85
2026-09-02 14:42:08	1.92	3.55	3.86
2026-09-02 14:52:08	1.89	3.55	3.83
2026-09-02 14:52:09	1.94	3.50	3.92
2026-09-02 15:02:09	1.90	3.54	3.85
2026-09-02 15:12:06	1.89	3.59	3.88
2026-09-02 15:12:07	1.93	3.47	3.81
2026-09-02 15:22:08	1.90	3.54	3.85
2026-09-02 15:32:07	1.89	3.55	3.83
2026-09-02 15:32:08	1.94	3.50	3.92
2026-09-02 15:42:07	1.88	3.56	3.86
2026-09-02 15:42:08	1.93	3.52	3.85
2026-09-02 15:52:10	1.90	3.54	3.85
2026-09-02 16:02:08	1.90	3.54	3.85
2026-09-02 16:12:07	1.90	3.54	3.85
2026-09-02 16:22:08	1.90	3.54	3.85
2026-09-02 16:32:08	1.89	3.54	3.82
2026-09-02 16:32:09	1.93	3.54	3.93
2026-09-02 16:42:08	1.90	3.54	3.85
2026-09-02 16:52:10	1.90	3.54	3.85
2026-09-02 17:02:08	1.89	3.55	3.83
2026-09-02 17:02:09	1.94	3.50	3.92
2026-09-02 17:12:08	1.90	3.54	3.85
2026-09-02 17:22:08	1.89	3.55	3.83
2026-09-02 17:22:09	1.94	3.50	3.92
2026-09-02 17:32:09	1.90	3.55	3.88
2026-09-02 17:42:07	1.90	3.55	3.88
2026-09-02 17:52:08	1.90	3.55	3.88
2026-09-02 18:02:07	1.90	3.55	3.88
2026-09-02 18:12:08	1.90	3.55	3.88
2026-09-02 18:22:08	1.90	3.55	3.88
2026-09-02 18:32:08	1.90	3.55	3.88
2026-09-02 18:42:07	1.90	3.55	3.88
2026-09-02 18:52:08	1.90	3.55	3.88
2026-09-02 19:02:08	1.90	3.55	3.88
2026-09-02 19:12:07	1.90	3.55	3.88
2026-09-02 19:22:08	1.90	3.55	3.88
2026-09-02 19:32:08	1.90	3.55	3.88
2026-09-02 19:42:07	1.88	3.48	3.85
2026-09-02 19:42:08	1.90	3.56	3.88
2026-09-02 19:52:08	1.90	3.55	3.88
2026-09-02 20:02:07	1.90	3.55	3.88
2026-09-02 20:12:08	1.90	3.55	3.88
2026-09-02 20:22:08	1.90	3.55	3.88
2026-09-02 20:32:08	1.90	3.54	3.87
2026-09-02 20:42:07	1.90	3.54	3.87
2026-09-02 21:02:08	1.90	3.54	3.87
2026-09-02 21:22:10	1.90	3.54	3.87
2026-09-02 21:42:08	1.90	3.54	3.87
2026-09-02 22:02:07	1.90	3.54	3.87
2026-09-02 22:22:09	1.89	3.54	3.87
2026-09-02 22:22:10	1.99	3.55	3.90
2026-09-02 22:42:08	1.90	3.54	3.87
2026-09-02 23:02:07	1.90	3.55	3.84
2026-09-02 23:02:08	1.91	3.52	3.98
2026-09-02 23:22:13	1.90	3.54	3.87
2026-09-02 23:42:08	1.90	3.54	3.87

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.02	Machida Zelvia	2 : 1	Kawasaki Frontale
2026.05.17	Kawasaki Frontale	1 : 1	Machida Zelvia
2026.03.28	Machida Zelvia	1 : 1	Kawasaki Frontale
2025.08.31	Kawasaki Frontale	5 : 3	Machida Zelvia
2025.04.06	Machida Zelvia	2 : 2	Kawasaki Frontale
2024.10.05	Machida Zelvia	1 : 4	Kawasaki Frontale
2024.04.07	Kawasaki Frontale	0 : 1	Machida Zelvia