경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

J1 League Japan · Regular Season - 5

JEF United ChibaHOME · 3.90

1 : 22026.09.02 · 종료

Fagiano OkayamaAWAY · 1.91

HOME · 현재 순위 20위 승점 0 · 4경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 13위 승점 4 · 4경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME27.5%

DRAW22.5%

AWAY50.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH83 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 83/100

AI PICK AWAY 40.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +3.4%

VALUE EDGE+3.4%

FAIR ODDS3.64

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 70/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -4.7%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -2.8%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -12.2%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

JEF United Chiba분석 지표Fagiano Okayama

16.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

1.25 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.50

1.50 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.58

20.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 37.5%

4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

83/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지16.5 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도11.9 / 15

예측 분리도9.7 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME24.1%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승25.0%표본 32경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승45.4%현재 이동 +1.3%

OPEN → NOW3.85 → 3.90배당 업데이트 2026-09-02 23:42:08

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

27.5%

DRAW

22.5%

AWAY

50.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

JEF United Chiba

L · 4-2D · 1-1D · 0-0L · 1-2D · 2-2

Fagiano Okayama

L · 2-1W · 3-0L · 3-1L · 2-0W · 1-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.85

→

CURRENT3.87

+0.46%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.54

→

CURRENT3.48

-1.83%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.90

→

CURRENT1.91

+0.69%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-02 10:52:11	3.85	3.54	1.90
2026-09-02 11:02:08	3.85	3.54	1.90
2026-09-02 11:12:07	3.85	3.54	1.90
2026-09-02 11:22:09	3.85	3.54	1.90
2026-09-02 11:32:08	3.88	3.55	1.89
2026-09-02 11:42:08	3.87	3.54	1.89
2026-09-02 11:42:09	3.93	3.60	1.92
2026-09-02 11:52:09	3.86	3.55	1.89
2026-09-02 11:52:10	3.93	3.55	1.91
2026-09-02 12:02:17	3.88	3.55	1.89
2026-09-02 12:12:07	3.88	3.55	1.89
2026-09-02 12:22:09	3.88	3.55	1.89
2026-09-02 12:32:08	3.88	3.55	1.89
2026-09-02 12:42:09	3.88	3.55	1.89
2026-09-02 12:52:09	3.88	3.55	1.89
2026-09-02 13:02:08	3.88	3.55	1.89
2026-09-02 13:12:07	3.88	3.55	1.89
2026-09-02 13:22:10	3.88	3.55	1.89
2026-09-02 13:32:20	3.88	3.55	1.89
2026-09-02 13:42:08	3.83	3.45	1.88
2026-09-02 13:42:09	3.89	3.57	1.89
2026-09-02 13:52:09	3.87	3.54	1.89
2026-09-02 13:52:10	3.93	3.60	1.92
2026-09-02 14:02:07	3.88	3.55	1.89
2026-09-02 14:12:07	3.88	3.55	1.89
2026-09-02 14:22:11	3.88	3.55	1.89
2026-09-02 14:32:08	3.88	3.56	1.89
2026-09-02 14:42:07	3.88	3.56	1.89
2026-09-02 14:52:08	3.88	3.56	1.89
2026-09-02 15:02:08	3.87	3.55	1.89
2026-09-02 15:02:09	4.00	3.65	1.94
2026-09-02 15:12:06	3.88	3.56	1.89
2026-09-02 15:22:08	3.88	3.56	1.89
2026-09-02 15:32:07	3.88	3.56	1.89
2026-09-02 15:42:07	3.88	3.56	1.89
2026-09-02 15:52:09	3.84	3.55	1.88
2026-09-02 15:52:10	3.96	3.58	1.91
2026-09-02 16:02:08	3.88	3.56	1.89
2026-09-02 16:12:07	3.88	3.56	1.89
2026-09-02 16:22:08	3.88	3.56	1.89
2026-09-02 16:32:08	3.88	3.56	1.89
2026-09-02 16:42:08	3.88	3.56	1.89
2026-09-02 16:52:10	3.88	3.56	1.89
2026-09-02 17:02:08	3.88	3.56	1.89
2026-09-02 17:12:08	3.88	3.56	1.89
2026-09-02 17:22:08	3.88	3.56	1.89
2026-09-02 17:32:09	3.91	3.51	1.89
2026-09-02 17:42:07	3.91	3.51	1.89
2026-09-02 17:52:08	3.91	3.51	1.89
2026-09-02 18:02:07	3.91	3.51	1.89
2026-09-02 18:12:08	3.91	3.51	1.89
2026-09-02 18:22:07	3.80	3.45	1.88
2026-09-02 18:22:08	3.93	3.52	1.89
2026-09-02 18:32:08	3.91	3.51	1.89
2026-09-02 18:42:07	3.91	3.51	1.89
2026-09-02 18:52:08	3.91	3.51	1.89
2026-09-02 19:02:08	3.91	3.51	1.89
2026-09-02 19:12:07	3.91	3.51	1.89
2026-09-02 19:22:07	3.80	3.45	1.88
2026-09-02 19:22:08	3.93	3.52	1.89
2026-09-02 19:32:08	3.91	3.51	1.89
2026-09-02 19:42:07	3.91	3.51	1.89
2026-09-02 19:52:07	3.89	3.49	1.89
2026-09-02 19:52:08	3.98	3.55	1.90
2026-09-02 20:02:06	3.89	3.49	1.89
2026-09-02 20:02:07	3.98	3.55	1.90
2026-09-02 20:12:07	3.89	3.49	1.89
2026-09-02 20:12:08	3.98	3.55	1.90
2026-09-02 20:22:08	3.91	3.51	1.89
2026-09-02 20:32:08	3.87	3.48	1.91
2026-09-02 20:42:07	3.87	3.48	1.91
2026-09-02 21:02:08	3.87	3.48	1.91
2026-09-02 21:22:10	3.87	3.48	1.91
2026-09-02 21:42:08	3.87	3.48	1.91
2026-09-02 22:02:07	3.87	3.48	1.91
2026-09-02 22:22:09	3.87	3.48	1.91
2026-09-02 22:42:08	3.87	3.48	1.91
2026-09-02 23:02:07	3.87	3.48	1.91
2026-09-02 23:22:13	3.87	3.48	1.91
2026-09-02 23:42:08	3.87	3.48	1.91

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.10.07	Fagiano Okayama	1 : 0	JEF United Chiba
2026.09.02	JEF United Chiba	1 : 2	Fagiano Okayama