경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
J1 League
Japan · Regular Season - 5

Cerezo OsakaHOME · 3.26
2 : 02026.09.02 · 종료
Kashiwa ReysolAWAY · 2.12

HOME · 현재 순위
10위
승점 6
· 4경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
1위
승점 12
· 4경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.9%
DRAW21.1%
AWAY19.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME28.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승26.5%표본 113경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승33.3%표본 6경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승40.0%현재 이동 +6.9%
OPEN → NOW3.05 → 3.26배당 업데이트 2026-09-02 23:42:08
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Cerezo OsakaL · 1-0W · 3-1W · 1-0W · 1-0W · 1-3
Kashiwa ReysolW · 0-1W · 2-1D · 0-0L · 0-1W · 2-6
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME80 SNAPSHOTS
+2.68%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS
+1.43%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS
-3.13%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-02 10:32:13 | 3.11 | 3.46 | 2.19 |
| 2026-09-02 10:42:09 | 3.11 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 10:52:11 | 3.11 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 11:02:07 | 3.11 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 11:12:07 | 3.11 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 11:22:08 | 3.09 | 3.44 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 11:22:09 | 3.20 | 3.48 | 2.20 |
| 2026-09-02 11:32:08 | 3.12 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 11:42:08 | 3.12 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 11:52:09 | 3.12 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 12:02:17 | 3.12 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 12:12:07 | 3.12 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 12:22:09 | 3.12 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 12:32:08 | 3.12 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 12:42:09 | 3.12 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 12:52:08 | 3.10 | 3.48 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 12:52:09 | 3.14 | 3.41 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 13:02:08 | 3.12 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 13:12:06 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-02 13:12:07 | 3.12 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 13:22:10 | 3.12 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 13:32:20 | 3.12 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 13:42:08 | 3.12 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 13:52:09 | 3.12 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 14:02:07 | 3.12 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 14:12:07 | 3.12 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 14:22:11 | 3.12 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 2026-09-02 14:32:08 | 3.16 | 3.48 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-02 14:42:07 | 3.16 | 3.48 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-02 14:52:08 | 3.16 | 3.48 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-02 15:02:08 | 3.16 | 3.48 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-02 15:12:06 | 3.16 | 3.48 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-02 15:22:07 | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-02 15:22:08 | 3.17 | 3.49 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-02 15:32:07 | 3.16 | 3.48 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-02 15:42:07 | 3.16 | 3.48 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-02 15:52:09 | 3.16 | 3.48 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-02 16:02:07 | 3.11 | 3.47 | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-02 16:02:08 | 3.21 | 3.48 | 2.16 |
| 2026-09-02 16:12:07 | 3.16 | 3.48 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-02 16:22:08 | 3.16 | 3.48 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-02 16:32:08 | 3.16 | 3.48 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-02 16:42:08 | 3.16 | 3.48 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-02 16:52:09 | 3.20 | 3.47 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-02 16:52:10 | 3.15 | 3.48 | 2.16 |
| 2026-09-02 17:02:08 | 3.16 | 3.48 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-02 17:12:08 | 3.16 | 3.48 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-02 17:22:08 | 3.16 | 3.48 | 2.15 |
| 2026-09-02 17:32:08 | 3.23 | 3.49 | 2.09 |
| 2026-09-02 17:32:09 | 3.22 | 3.52 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-02 17:42:07 | 3.22 | 3.51 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-02 17:52:08 | 3.22 | 3.51 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-02 18:02:07 | 3.22 | 3.51 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-02 18:12:07 | 3.21 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
| 2026-09-02 18:12:08 | 3.40 | 3.65 | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-02 18:22:07 | 3.22 | 3.51 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-02 18:32:08 | 3.22 | 3.51 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-02 18:42:07 | 3.22 | 3.51 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-02 18:52:08 | 3.22 | 3.51 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-02 19:02:08 | 3.22 | 3.51 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-02 19:12:07 | 3.22 | 3.51 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-02 19:22:07 | 3.22 | 3.51 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-02 19:32:08 | 3.22 | 3.51 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-02 19:42:07 | 3.22 | 3.51 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-02 19:52:07 | 3.22 | 3.51 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-02 20:02:06 | 3.22 | 3.51 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-02 20:12:07 | 3.22 | 3.51 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-02 20:22:08 | 3.22 | 3.51 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-02 20:32:08 | 3.19 | 3.51 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-02 20:42:07 | 3.19 | 3.51 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-02 21:02:08 | 3.19 | 3.51 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-02 21:22:09 | 3.10 | 3.55 | 2.20 |
| 2026-09-02 21:22:10 | 3.20 | 3.51 | 2.11 |
| 2026-09-02 21:42:08 | 3.19 | 3.51 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-02 22:02:07 | 3.19 | 3.51 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-02 22:22:09 | 3.19 | 3.51 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-02 22:42:08 | 3.19 | 3.51 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-02 23:02:07 | 3.19 | 3.51 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-02 23:22:13 | 3.19 | 3.51 | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-02 23:42:08 | 3.19 | 3.51 | 2.12 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.02 | Cerezo Osaka | 2 : 0 | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 2025.09.20 | Cerezo Osaka | 1 : 1 | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 2025.02.26 | Kashiwa Reysol | 2 : 1 | Cerezo Osaka |
| 2024.09.28 | Cerezo Osaka | 0 : 0 | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 2024.04.03 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 : 1 | Cerezo Osaka |