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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

FIBA Europe Cup Europe · FIBA Europe Cup - Quarter-finals
BilbaoHOME · -
81 : 532024.03.14 · 종료
LegiaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 68.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +68.2%
VALUE EDGE+68.2%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
BilbaoAnalysis MetricsLegia
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+0.08 Point MarginHigher is better -2.92
181.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.25
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
68.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
31.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Bilbao
L · 83-64W · 90-63L · 82-80W · 62-94W · 72-75
Legia
W · 83-64W · 86-99W · 77-101L · 66-77W · 93-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.14Bilbao81 : 53Legia
2024.03.07Legia83 : 64Bilbao