Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
FIBA Europe Cup
Europe · 5
LeidenHOME · -
81 : 772024.02.01 · 종료
VareseAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME60.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+60.1%
VALUE EDGE+60.1%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEB
LeidenAnalysis MetricsVarese
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-10.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.42
152.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
170.08
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.9 / 15
Prediction separation8.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Leiden
W · 72-64L · 90-77W · 71-76L · 58-88W · 78-58
Varese
W · 90-78W · 100-81L · 79-82L · 109-85W · 81-94
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.02.01 | Leiden | 81 : 77 | Varese |
| 2023.12.14 | Varese | 79 : 82 | Leiden |