Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
FIBA Europe Cup
Europe · 4
VareseHOME · -
90 : 782024.01.25 · 종료
ChemnitzAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME31.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY68.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 68.2%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+68.4%
VALUE EDGE+68.4%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
VareseAnalysis MetricsChemnitz
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-0.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.42
170.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.92
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Varese
W · 100-81L · 79-82L · 109-85W · 81-94W · 97-90
Chemnitz
W · 58-88W · 79-95W · 109-85W · 88-61W · 97-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.25 | Varese | 90 : 78 | Chemnitz |
| 2023.12.07 | Chemnitz | 109 : 85 | Varese |