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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

FIBA Europe Cup Europe · 3
VareseHOME · -
100 : 812024.01.11 · 종료
CSM OradeaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +61.3%
VALUE EDGE+61.3%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEA
VareseAnalysis MetricsCSM Oradea
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-0.42 Point MarginHigher is better +5.42
170.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.92
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation9.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
38.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
61.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Varese
L · 79-82L · 109-85W · 81-94W · 97-90W · 109-83
CSM Oradea
L · 79-95W · 77-82W · 93-74W · 105-92W · 65-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.02.08CSM Oradea96 : 103Varese
2024.01.11Varese100 : 81CSM Oradea