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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

FIBA Europe Cup Europe · 1
JonavaHOME · -
81 : 912023.12.07 · 종료
Sporting CPAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 68.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +65.9%
VALUE EDGE+65.9%
FAIR ODDS1.52
GRADEB
JonavaAnalysis MetricsSporting CP
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-4.42 Point MarginHigher is better +0.42
157.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.25
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 13.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.7 / 15
Prediction separation13.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
65.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
34.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Jonava
L · 86-81W · 84-95W · 84-65L · 80-87W · 88-104
Sporting CP
W · 90-72L · 81-70W · 83-79L · 84-93W · 89-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.01.25Sporting CP103 : 88Jonava
2023.12.07Jonava81 : 91Sporting CP