Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
FIBA Europe Cup
Europe · 6
Karhu BasketHOME · -
80 : 852023.11.23 · 종료
AEK LarnacaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.7%
VALUE EDGE+60.7%
FAIR ODDS1.65
GRADEA
Karhu BasketAnalysis MetricsAEK Larnaca
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+2.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.92
169.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.42
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation9.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Karhu Basket
L · 92-98W · 66-75L · 93-65L · 88-104L · 63-67
AEK Larnaca
L · 84-95L · 86-73L · 66-75W · 80-87W · 78-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.11.23 | Karhu Basket | 80 : 85 | AEK Larnaca |
| 2023.11.02 | AEK Larnaca | 66 : 75 | Karhu Basket |