Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
FIBA Europe Cup
Europe · 5
LeidenHOME · -
80 : 762023.11.16 · 종료
TrepcaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.2%
VALUE EDGE+68.2%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEB
LeidenAnalysis MetricsTrepca
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-10.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.83
152.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.67
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Leiden
W · 72-67L · 74-46W · 71-88W · 0-20W · 74-65
Trepca
L · 83-49L · 54-84W · 77-67W · 69-77L · 76-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.11.16 | Leiden | 80 : 76 | Trepca |
| 2023.10.26 | Trepca | 54 : 84 | Leiden |