Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
FIBA Europe Cup
Europe · 5
AEK LarnacaHOME · -
84 : 952023.11.16 · 종료
JonavaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME77.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+77.1%
VALUE EDGE+77.1%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEA
AEK LarnacaAnalysis MetricsJonava
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+7.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.42
159.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.75
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
AEK Larnaca
L · 86-73L · 66-75W · 80-87W · 78-76W · 70-72
Jonava
W · 84-65L · 80-87W · 88-104L · 65-59
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.11.16 | AEK Larnaca | 84 : 95 | Jonava |
| 2023.10.26 | Jonava | 80 : 87 | AEK Larnaca |