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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

FIBA Europe Cup Europe · 4
VareseHOME · -
97 : 902023.11.09 · 종료
KeravnosAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +62.4%
VALUE EDGE+62.4%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEA
VareseAnalysis MetricsKeravnos
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
-0.42 Point MarginHigher is better +7.33
170.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.50
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation10.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
37.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
62.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Varese
W · 109-83L · 79-91W · 80-95L · 84-80L · 78-53
Keravnos
L · 90-71L · 63-60L · 80-95L · 93-74W · 107-60

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.11.09Varese97 : 90Keravnos
2023.10.19Keravnos80 : 95Varese