Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
FIBA Europe Cup
Europe
ChernomoretsHOME · -
85 : 962023.10.06 · 종료
KatajaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME28.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY71.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
85/100
AI PICK
AWAY 72.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+71.5%
VALUE EDGE+71.5%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
ChernomoretsAnalysis MetricsKataja
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-16.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.33
164.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
170.33
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Chernomorets
L · 73-77L · 98-66L · 77-94L · 99-94W · 83-79
Kataja
L · 71-78W · 94-54W · 104-78L · 64-75W · 82-104
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.10.06 | Chernomorets | 85 : 96 | Kataja |