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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

FIBA Europe Cup Europe
FC PortoHOME · -
100 : 842023.10.04 · 종료
NevezisAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME77.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 77.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +77.6%
VALUE EDGE+77.6%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADEA
FC PortoAnalysis MetricsNevezis
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+0.92 Point MarginHigher is better -7.08
164.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.25
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
77.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
22.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FC Porto
L · 75-65L · 80-81L · 95-83L · 74-86W · 90-64
Nevezis
L · 96-75L · 91-75L · 63-92L · 85-69L · 77-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.10.04FC Porto100 : 84Nevezis