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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

FIBA Europe Cup Europe · FIBA Europe Cup - Quarter-finals
Crailsheim MerlinsHOME · -
71 : 682022.03.10 · 종료
LeidenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 54.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +57.6%
VALUE EDGE+57.6%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
Crailsheim MerlinsAnalysis MetricsLeiden
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+10.08 Point MarginHigher is better -7.50
153.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.17
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
3.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation6.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
57.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
42.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Crailsheim Merlins
L · 101-96W · 87-81L · 106-74L · 79-70W · 82-62
Leiden
L · 98-93W · 82-88W · 79-75W · 89-68W · 59-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.03.17Leiden85 : 77Crailsheim Merlins
2022.03.10Crailsheim Merlins71 : 68Leiden