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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

FIBA Europe Cup Europe · FIBA Europe Cup - Semi-finals
CholetHOME · -
81 : 592023.04.06 · 종료
BC KalevAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME42.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +57.6%
VALUE EDGE+57.6%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEB
CholetAnalysis MetricsBC Kalev
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-1.58 Point MarginHigher is better -0.17
163.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.67
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.1 / 15
Prediction separation6.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
42.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
57.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cholet
L · 80-73W · 83-79L · 73-72L · 77-84W · 95-83
BC Kalev
W · 66-83W · 80-73W · 76-70W · 101-64W · 84-102

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.06Cholet81 : 59BC Kalev
2023.03.30BC Kalev80 : 73Cholet