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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

FIBA Europe Cup Europe · 4
CholetHOME · -
77 : 752023.01.25 · 종료
ChemnitzAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +58.0%
VALUE EDGE+58.0%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEB
CholetAnalysis MetricsChemnitz
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-1.58 Point MarginHigher is better +3.67
163.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 176.17
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.9 / 15
Prediction separation6.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
58.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
42.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cholet
L · 99-78W · 75-56W · 73-83W · 100-75W · 89-69
Chemnitz
W · 93-62L · 87-94L · 73-83W · 111-79W · 72-101

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.01.25Cholet77 : 75Chemnitz
2022.12.14Chemnitz73 : 83Cholet