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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

FIBA Europe Cup Europe · 3
FC PortoHOME · -
99 : 782023.01.11 · 종료
CholetAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +50.2%
VALUE EDGE+50.2%
FAIR ODDS1.99
GRADEA
FC PortoAnalysis MetricsCholet
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+0.92 Point MarginHigher is better -1.58
164.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.08
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation0.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
50.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
49.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FC Porto
W · 87-94W · 73-83L · 82-64W · 87-64L · 68-71
Cholet
W · 75-56W · 73-83W · 100-75W · 89-69L · 77-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.02.09Cholet95 : 83FC Porto
2023.01.11FC Porto99 : 78Cholet