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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

FIBA Europe Cup Europe · 5
CholetHOME · -
89 : 692022.11.23 · 종료
MechelenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +51.0%
VALUE EDGE+51.0%
FAIR ODDS1.96
GRADEA
CholetAnalysis MetricsMechelen
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-1.58 Point MarginHigher is better -12.33
163.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 173.83
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation0.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
49.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
51.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cholet
L · 77-69W · 65-83L · 88-85W · 99-81W · 59-71
Mechelen
W · 76-88W · 105-74W · 63-97L · 98-76W · 99-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.11.23Cholet89 : 69Mechelen
2022.10.20Mechelen88 : 85Cholet