Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
FIBA Europe Cup
Europe · FIBA Europe Cup - Quarter-finals
AEK LarnacaHOME · -
77 : 682022.09.28 · 종료
ThorlAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
85/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.0%
VALUE EDGE+61.0%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEB
AEK LarnacaAnalysis MetricsThorl
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+7.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.25
161.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
179.92
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.1 / 15
Prediction separation9.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
AEK Larnaca
L · 76-55L · 74-83L · 67-56L · 50-78
Thorl
L · 85-93W · 90-85W · 77-79W · 86-111L · 88-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.09.28 | AEK Larnaca | 77 : 68 | Thorl |