Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
European Championship Women
Europe · 2
Germany WHOME · -
53 : 702023.11.13 · 종료
Italy WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.4%
VALUE EDGE+59.4%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEB
Germany WAnalysis MetricsItaly W
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+3.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.00
145.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
131.67
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.1 / 15
Prediction separation8.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Germany W
W · 41-85L · 62-78L · 67-42W · 79-69W · 62-61
Italy W
W · 76-67L · 63-49L · 72-64W · 68-88L · 58-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.07 | Italy W | 79 : 60 | Germany W |
| 2023.11.13 | Germany W | 53 : 70 | Italy W |