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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

European Championship Women Europe · 1
Italy WHOME · -
58 : 612023.06.15 · 종료
Czech Republic WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +59.3%
VALUE EDGE+59.3%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEA
Italy WAnalysis MetricsCzech Republic W
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+2.83 Point MarginHigher is better +2.00
130.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 144.17
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation8.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
59.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
40.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Italy W
W · 63-79W · 51-109W · 81-60W · 78-29W · 82-48
Czech Republic W
W · 69-49W · 74-57W · 66-71W · 54-70L · 60-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.09.05Czech Republic W54 : 63Italy W
2025.02.10Czech Republic W74 : 69Italy W
2024.11.08Italy W68 : 47Czech Republic W
2023.06.15Italy W58 : 61Czech Republic W
2020.11.16Czech Republic W63 : 69Italy W
2019.11.15Italy W52 : 62Czech Republic W