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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

European Championship Women Europe · 4
Italy WHOME · -
81 : 602022.11.28 · 종료
Slovakia WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 78.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +79.3%
VALUE EDGE+79.3%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEB
Italy WAnalysis MetricsSlovakia W
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+2.83 Point MarginHigher is better +1.92
130.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 144.75
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
79.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
20.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Italy W
W · 78-29W · 82-48W · 66-69L · 46-64W · 77-67
Slovakia W
W · 57-77W · 50-65L · 66-69L · 93-61W · 58-54

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.11.28Italy W81 : 60Slovakia W
2021.11.12Slovakia W66 : 69Italy W