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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

European Championship Women Europe · 4
Finland WHOME · -
56 : 652022.11.27 · 종료
Lithuania WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 57.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +61.1%
VALUE EDGE+61.1%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEA
Finland WAnalysis MetricsLithuania W
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-15.00 Point MarginHigher is better +4.25
142.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 148.75
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
2.7일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.5 / 15
Prediction separation9.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
61.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
38.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Finland W
L · 103-77L · 71-77L · 69-59L · 75-91L · 82-47
Lithuania W
W · 81-62L · 83-56W · 69-59L · 96-61L · 55-67

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.13Lithuania W74 : 76Finland W
2022.11.27Finland W56 : 65Lithuania W
2021.11.12Lithuania W69 : 59Finland W