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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

European Championship U20 Women Europe
Italy U20 WHOME · -
77 : 672014.07.08 · 종료
Serbia U20 WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 58.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.2%
VALUE EDGE+64.2%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADEA
Italy U20 WAnalysis MetricsSerbia U20 W
91.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+10.67 Point MarginHigher is better +1.25
126.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 129.58
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation12.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Italy U20 W
W · 52-66W · 59-56L · 65-39W · 83-59W · 69-58
Serbia U20 W
L · 63-75W · 54-78W · 70-67W · 67-61L · 85-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2014.07.14Italy U20 W68 : 63Serbia U20 W
2014.07.08Italy U20 W77 : 67Serbia U20 W