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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

European Championship U20 Women Europe
Italy U20 WHOME · -
59 : 562014.07.05 · 종료
Poland U20 WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 54.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +58.1%
VALUE EDGE+58.1%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEA
Italy U20 WAnalysis MetricsPoland U20 W
91.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+10.67 Point MarginHigher is better +1.75
126.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 130.92
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation7.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
58.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
41.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Italy U20 W
L · 65-39W · 83-59W · 69-58W · 52-56W · 58-61
Poland U20 W
W · 73-34L · 51-74L · 60-54W · 50-53W · 47-54

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2014.07.05Italy U20 W59 : 56Poland U20 W
2012.08.19Italy U20 W47 : 54Poland U20 W