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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

European Championship U20 Women Europe · European Championship U20 Women - 5th place
Portugal U20 WHOME · -
64 : 752023.08.06 · 종료
Italy U20 WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME28.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY71.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK AWAY 73.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +71.5%
VALUE EDGE+71.5%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
Portugal U20 WAnalysis MetricsItaly U20 W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
-9.17 Point MarginHigher is better +8.25
129.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 124.08
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
28.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
71.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Portugal U20 W
W · 54-63L · 49-58W · 68-70L · 74-81L · 77-59
Italy U20 W
W · 68-92W · 79-64W · 76-68L · 69-76W · 54-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.08.06Portugal U20 W64 : 75Italy U20 W
2012.08.24Portugal U20 W52 : 56Italy U20 W
2012.08.20Italy U20 W57 : 48Portugal U20 W