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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

European Championship U20 Women Europe · European Championship U20 Women - Quarter-finals
Lithuania U20 WHOME · -
51 : 662023.08.04 · 종료
Poland U20 WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME43.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 53.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +56.6%
VALUE EDGE+56.6%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
Lithuania U20 WAnalysis MetricsPoland U20 W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-13.42 Point MarginHigher is better -0.67
126.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 130.00
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
1.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation5.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
43.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
56.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lithuania U20 W
L · 86-46L · 48-79L · 83-36L · 34-72W · 53-48
Poland U20 W
L · 63-70L · 98-52W · 71-60L · 67-63W · 49-48

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.08.04Lithuania U20 W51 : 66Poland U20 W
2012.08.21Lithuania U20 W50 : 53Poland U20 W