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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

European Championship U20 Women Europe
Italy U20 WHOME · -
79 : 642023.08.02 · 종료
Montenegro U20 WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 70/100
AI PICK HOME 67.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +68.6%
VALUE EDGE+68.6%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEB
Italy U20 WAnalysis MetricsMontenegro U20 W
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+7.92 Point MarginHigher is better -12.00
123.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 128.67
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

64/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage14.2 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample7.5 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence3.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
68.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
31.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Italy U20 W
W · 76-68L · 69-76W · 54-71W · 49-50W · 56-44
Montenegro U20 W
W · 51-63L · 71-60L · 38-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.08.02Italy U20 W79 : 64Montenegro U20 W