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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NPB Japan
Yokohama BayStarsHOME · -
3 : 112023.09.27 · 종료
Yakult SwallowsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
야구 MODEL V7.0

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Starting pitchers · Run differential · Recent win rate · Home/Away · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 59.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +62.1%
VALUE EDGE+62.1%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADEB
BASEBALL · STARTING PITCHER MATCHUP

Starting Pitcher Comparison

MATCHUP DATA0/100
Yokohama BayStars · HOME STARTER

선발 미확인

-HP RECENT FORM
ERA-
WHIP-
K/9-
BB/9-
Last 0 matches ERA - · WHIP -
STARTER EDGE 54 : 46 대등
Yakult Swallows · AWAY STARTER

선발 미확인

-HP RECENT FORM
ERA-
WHIP-
K/9-
BB/9-
Last 0 matches ERA - · WHIP -
Yokohama BayStars Pitcher Matchup Details Yakult Swallows
- Last 5 ERA -
- Last 5 WHIP -
- Home / Away ERA -
- Home / Away WHIP -
- Opponent ERA -
- Opponent WHIP -
- Average innings -
- Rest days -
Yokohama BayStars 최근 공격 2.60 R/G Last 10 matches · Run differential 0.30
Bullpen Condition PROXY MEDIUM / MEDIUM 최근 일정 밀도 + 팀 실점 억제 기반
Yakult Swallows 최근 공격 3.70 R/G Last 10 matches · Run differential -0.80
시즌 기본 성적 No Data
최근 5경기 No Data
홈/원정 스플릿 No Data
상대팀 상대전적 No Data
휴식/이닝 소화 No Data
구종/구속 지표 No Data
상대 타선 최근 공격력 54 : 46
실제 불펜 컨디션 58 : 42
예상 라인업 타격력 No Data
좌우 타선 상성 No Data
구종 × 상대 타선 No Data
EVEN상대 타선 최근 공격력 HOME실제 불펜 컨디션

Baseball model confidence is limited until both starting pitchers are confirmed. Analysis refreshes after Sportradar announces them.

Yokohama BayStarsAnalysis MetricsYakult Swallows
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+1.00 Run DifferentialHigher is better -1.58
1.92 Average goals concededLower is better 4.92
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
BASEBALL AI V7.0

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 50/100 · HIGH RISK
실제 불펜 컨디션 HOME 58 : 42
상대 타선 최근 공격력 HOME 54 : 46
• 야구 세부 데이터 품질이 충분하지 않습니다.• 구종×타선 데이터가 일부 일반 타격 프로필 fallback을 사용합니다.• 일부 불펜 평가는 실제 구원투수 데이터가 아닌 PROXY입니다.• 구장 득점환경 표본이 작습니다.
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation10.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.3 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
62.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
37.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Yokohama BayStars
W · 1-0W · 1-0L · 0-6L · 3-4W · 1-3
Yakult Swallows
L · 2-0W · 1-3L · 3-9L · 8-9W · 6-5

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.09.19Yokohama BayStars5 : 3Yakult Swallows
2026.09.18Yokohama BayStars1 : 3Yakult Swallows
2026.09.17Yakult Swallows1 : 2Yokohama BayStars
2026.09.10Yokohama BayStars8 : 1Yakult Swallows
2026.09.09Yokohama BayStars9 : 2Yakult Swallows
2026.09.08Yokohama BayStars1 : 3Yakult Swallows
2023.09.30Yakult Swallows2 : 4Yokohama BayStars
2023.09.27Yokohama BayStars3 : 11Yakult Swallows
2023.09.16Yakult Swallows6 : 3Yokohama BayStars
2023.09.15Yakult Swallows1 : 3Yokohama BayStars