Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NPB Japan

Yakult SwallowsHOME · -

8 : 92023.09.21 · 종료

Chunichi DragonsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY51.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW60 / 100

야구 MODEL V7.0

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Starting pitchers · Run differential · Recent win rate · Home/Away · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100

AI PICK AWAY 49.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +51.9%

VALUE EDGE+51.9%

FAIR ODDS1.93

GRADEB

BASEBALL · STARTING PITCHER MATCHUP

Starting Pitcher Comparison

MATCHUP DATA0/100

Yakult Swallows · HOME STARTER

선발 미확인

-HP RECENT FORM

ERA-

WHIP-

K/9-

BB/9-

Last 0 matches ERA - · WHIP -

STARTER EDGE 55 : 45 대등

Chunichi Dragons · AWAY STARTER

선발 미확인

-HP RECENT FORM

ERA-

WHIP-

K/9-

BB/9-

Last 0 matches ERA - · WHIP -

Yakult Swallows Pitcher Matchup Details Chunichi Dragons

- Last 5 ERA -

- Last 5 WHIP -

- Home / Away ERA -

- Home / Away WHIP -

- Opponent ERA -

- Opponent WHIP -

- Average innings -

- Rest days -

Yakult Swallows 최근 공격 4.70 R/G Last 10 matches · Run differential 1.40

Bullpen Condition PROXY LOW / LOW 최근 일정 밀도 + 팀 실점 억제 기반

Chunichi Dragons 최근 공격 2.30 R/G Last 10 matches · Run differential -1.70

시즌 기본 성적 No Data

최근 5경기 No Data

홈/원정 스플릿 No Data

상대팀 상대전적 No Data

휴식/이닝 소화 No Data

구종/구속 지표 No Data

상대 타선 최근 공격력 65 : 35

실제 불펜 컨디션 53 : 47

예상 라인업 타격력 No Data

좌우 타선 상성 No Data

구종 × 상대 타선 No Data

HOME상대 타선 최근 공격력 EVEN실제 불펜 컨디션

Baseball model confidence is limited until both starting pitchers are confirmed. Analysis refreshes after Sportradar announces them.

Yakult SwallowsAnalysis MetricsChunichi Dragons

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-1.58 Run DifferentialHigher is better -0.25

4.92 Average goals concededLower is better 4.08

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 30.0%

1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

BASEBALL AI V7.0

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 20/100 · HIGH RISK

상대 타선 최근 공격력 HOME 65 : 35

실제 불펜 컨디션 HOME 53 : 47

• 야구 세부 데이터 품질이 충분하지 않습니다.• 구종×타선 데이터가 일부 일반 타격 프로필 fallback을 사용합니다.• 일부 불펜 평가는 실제 구원투수 데이터가 아닌 PROXY입니다.• 구장 득점환경 표본이 작습니다.

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

60/100 LOW

Data coverage20.0 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement15.0 / 15

Prediction separation1.7 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.3 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

48.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

51.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Yakult Swallows

W · 6-5L · 4-3L · 3-2W · 6-3L · 1-3

Chunichi Dragons

L · 6-5W · 8-7L · 0-3W · 1-0L · 0-7

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.03	Yakult Swallows	1 : 3	Chunichi Dragons
2026.09.26	Yakult Swallows	5 : 3	Chunichi Dragons
2026.09.25	Yakult Swallows	5 : 4	Chunichi Dragons
2026.09.12	Chunichi Dragons	5 : 6	Yakult Swallows
2026.09.05	Yakult Swallows	4 : 8	Chunichi Dragons
2026.09.04	Yakult Swallows	1 : 1	Chunichi Dragons
2023.09.21	Yakult Swallows	8 : 9	Chunichi Dragons
2023.09.20	Yakult Swallows	6 : 5	Chunichi Dragons
2023.08.31	Chunichi Dragons	1 : 6	Yakult Swallows
2023.08.30	Chunichi Dragons	3 : 2	Yakult Swallows