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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

European Championship U16 Women Europe · European Championship U16 Women - Quarter-finals
Italy U16 WHOME · -
71 : 592015.08.21 · 종료
Latvia U16 WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 73.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +74.4%
VALUE EDGE+74.4%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEA
Italy U16 WAnalysis MetricsLatvia U16 W
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+8.83 Point MarginHigher is better -5.92
115.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 125.75
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
1.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
74.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
25.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Italy U16 W
W · 56-68W · 48-42W · 59-75W · 60-45W · 40-53
Latvia U16 W
W · 52-64W · 66-42L · 51-52L · 68-54W · 77-45

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2019.08.29Italy U16 W58 : 48Latvia U16 W
2015.08.21Italy U16 W71 : 59Latvia U16 W