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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

European Championship U16 Women Europe
Italy U16 WHOME · -
48 : 422015.08.19 · 종료
Portugal U16 WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +56.7%
VALUE EDGE+56.7%
FAIR ODDS1.76
GRADEA
Italy U16 WAnalysis MetricsPortugal U16 W
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+8.83 Point MarginHigher is better +9.67
115.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 113.17
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
1.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation5.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
56.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
43.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Italy U16 W
W · 59-75W · 60-45W · 40-53W · 64-57
Portugal U16 W
L · 55-70W · 61-62W · 45-65L · 45-59

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.08.19Italy U16 W48 : 42Portugal U16 W