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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Eurocup Europe · 16
UlmHOME · -
97 : 852023.03.16 · 종료
Cedevita OlimpijaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +53.6%
VALUE EDGE+53.6%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEB
UlmAnalysis MetricsCedevita Olimpija
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-4.50 Point MarginHigher is better +0.67
175.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.67
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.3 / 15
Prediction separation3.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
53.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
46.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ulm
L · 78-83L · 82-76W · 92-86W · 72-85W · 78-69
Cedevita Olimpija
L · 81-59L · 87-94W · 83-73W · 79-86L · 94-68

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.16Ulm97 : 85Cedevita Olimpija
2022.12.07Cedevita Olimpija108 : 78Ulm
2022.02.10Ulm96 : 104Cedevita Olimpija