Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Eurocup
Europe · 11
UlmHOME · -
78 : 692023.01.19 · 종료
LietkabelisAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.9%
VALUE EDGE+57.9%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEB
UlmAnalysis MetricsLietkabelis
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-4.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.00
175.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.83
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.1 / 15
Prediction separation6.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ulm
L · 89-69W · 81-84W · 110-98L · 108-78W · 105-106
Lietkabelis
L · 72-80L · 76-90L · 75-69W · 79-70W · 104-98
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.28 | Lietkabelis | 68 : 86 | Ulm |
| 2026.01.03 | Ulm | 79 : 89 | Lietkabelis |
| 2025.10.16 | Lietkabelis | 94 : 98 | Ulm |
| 2023.01.19 | Ulm | 78 : 69 | Lietkabelis |
| 2022.10.20 | Lietkabelis | 80 : 76 | Ulm |