Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Eurocup Europe · Eurocup - Semi-finals

ValenciaHOME · -

73 : 832022.05.05 · 종료

Virtus BolognaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY34.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 67.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +65.3%

VALUE EDGE+65.3%

FAIR ODDS1.53

GRADES

ValenciaAnalysis MetricsVirtus Bologna

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

+8.42 Point MarginHigher is better -0.42

183.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 182.25

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.9 / 15

Prediction separation13.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

65.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

34.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Valencia

W · 98-85W · 98-80W · 103-71L · 82-76L · 92-89

Virtus Bologna

W · 83-77W · 75-67W · 68-90W · 70-68W · 61-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.04.04	Virtus Bologna	81 : 94	Valencia
2025.10.04	Valencia	103 : 94	Virtus Bologna
2022.05.05	Valencia	73 : 83	Virtus Bologna
2022.02.10	Valencia	83 : 77	Virtus Bologna
2021.11.11	Virtus Bologna	96 : 97	Valencia