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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Eurocup Europe · Eurocup - Semi-finals
ValenciaHOME · -
73 : 832022.05.05 · 종료
Virtus BolognaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +65.3%
VALUE EDGE+65.3%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADES
ValenciaAnalysis MetricsVirtus Bologna
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+8.42 Point MarginHigher is better -0.42
183.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 182.25
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation13.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
65.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
34.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valencia
W · 98-85W · 98-80W · 103-71L · 82-76L · 92-89
Virtus Bologna
W · 83-77W · 75-67W · 68-90W · 70-68W · 61-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.04.04Virtus Bologna81 : 94Valencia
2025.10.04Valencia103 : 94Virtus Bologna
2022.05.05Valencia73 : 83Virtus Bologna
2022.02.10Valencia83 : 77Virtus Bologna
2021.11.11Virtus Bologna96 : 97Valencia