Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Eurocup
Europe · Eurocup - Quarter-finals
Virtus BolognaHOME · -
83 : 772022.04.27 · 종료
UlmAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME65.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+65.3%
VALUE EDGE+65.3%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEA
Virtus BolognaAnalysis MetricsUlm
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-0.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.50
182.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
176.83
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation13.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Virtus Bologna
W · 75-67W · 68-90W · 70-68W · 61-83L · 74-86
Ulm
W · 73-80W · 73-79L · 78-73W · 90-74L · 74-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.04.27 | Virtus Bologna | 83 : 77 | Ulm |
| 2022.01.26 | Ulm | 84 : 68 | Virtus Bologna |
| 2021.10.28 | Virtus Bologna | 87 : 76 | Ulm |