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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Eurocup Europe
Joventut BadalonaHOME · -
73 : 792022.04.20 · 종료
UlmAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 82.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +80.2%
VALUE EDGE+80.2%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
Joventut BadalonaAnalysis MetricsUlm
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+3.75 Point MarginHigher is better -1.50
174.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 176.83
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
13.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
80.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
19.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Joventut Badalona
W · 97-79L · 86-78W · 65-50L · 72-71W · 69-78
Ulm
L · 78-73W · 90-74L · 74-61L · 103-71W · 83-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.02.08Joventut Badalona82 : 76Ulm
2022.11.24Ulm54 : 68Joventut Badalona
2022.04.20Joventut Badalona73 : 79Ulm