Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
EuroBasket U20
Europe · EuroBasket U20 - Quarter-finals
Serbia U20HOME · -
82 : 692015.07.18 · 종료
Lithuania U20AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME69.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
85/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+69.5%
VALUE EDGE+69.5%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADEA
Serbia U20Analysis MetricsLithuania U20
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+8.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.00
140.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
144.00
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
2.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Serbia U20
W · 64-53W · 74-76W · 61-67W · 62-80W · 100-74
Lithuania U20
W · 70-57L · 68-62L · 69-79W · 49-56W · 61-52
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.07.18 | Serbia U20 | 82 : 69 | Lithuania U20 |