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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

EuroBasket U20 Europe · EuroBasket U20 - Semi-finals
Italy U20HOME · -
73 : 482015.07.18 · 종료
Ukraine U20AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.9%
VALUE EDGE+64.9%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEB
Italy U20Analysis MetricsUkraine U20
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+3.92 Point MarginHigher is better +1.25
139.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 141.42
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%
1.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation12.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Italy U20
W · 64-75L · 82-51L · 61-67W · 57-55L · 66-60
Ukraine U20
L · 70-57L · 61-52L · 62-79L · 80-72W · 66-59

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.07.18Italy U2073 : 48Ukraine U20